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[Politik] Jika anda sayangkan Malaysia dan ingin pertahankan demokrasi, WAJIB baca ini: The Great Reset: Resetting Malaysian Politics. Apakah pendirian anda?

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Author: I.am.PH    From the mobile phone    Show all posts   Read mode

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Post time 8-7-2020 11:29 AM | Show all posts |Read mode
Edited by I.am.PH at 8-7-2020 03:33 AM

The Great Reset: Resetting Malaysian Politics
8 July 2020



The political crisis caused by the Sheraton coup should be seen as part and parcel of a very painful and long democratisation process.

The coup was in fact the form that the expected push back by conservative forces took, against the peoples democratic uprising that took place at the election box on 9th May 2018.



Malaysia had been a one-party state where people could not imagine change, and in fact fear itup until the 2008 election that saw Barisan Nasional losing the two-thirds majority for the first time and falling in the most industrialised states, such as Selangor and Penang.

The 2018 general election witnessed Malaysians of all ethnic and religious backgrounds coming together in a huge turnout on election day to rise against the one-party state that attempted to win by:

  • Setting a Wednesday polling day (to reduce turnout)
  • Changing election boundaries (to favour the ruling coalition)
  • Attempting to use the Election Commission to ban even the photo of Tun Dr. Mahathir Mohamad; not to mention interventions in the mass media etc.

Upon losing, the conservatives regrouped and attacked the Pakatan government on ethnic fronts:

  • Claiming to the Malays that the government had been hijacked by DAP and the non-Malays.
  • At the same time, suggesting to the non-Malays that Dr. Mahathir controlled everything to the detriment of the non-Malays.

The scorched earth strategy worked. Trust and support for the Pakatan government collapsed within a short span of time.



To bring together the grand coalition of Dr. Mahathir and Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim in 2017 was extremely difficult. But to hold it together after winning power in 2018 proved to be even harder.

Trojan horses had penetrated the defences. Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin on Mahathirs side and Datuk Seri Azmin Ali on Anwars side pulled the rug from under these two leaders.

The government fell as a result.

But the result of these shenanigans, is the new government, the Muhyiddin-Perikatan Nasional government, is the weakest in Malaysian history. It is not confident enough to try to prove that it has a majority in parliament; and at the same time, UMNO and PAS are waiting to pounce on Muhyiddins and Azmins separate factions.



On the opposition bench, at the same time, the cleavage between Mahathir and Anwar makes reclaiming of the ruling mandate very difficult. Talk of a looming general election is getting louder as well.

Here are five points that should help us understand the current political situation.

1. A 50-50 electorate

In the 2008 general election, Pakatan allies received 47% of the popular vote.


GE12 results which saw BN losing 2/3 majority for the first time.


DAP, PAS and PKR subsequently formed Pakatan Rakyat after GE12

In 2013, support for them went up to 51%.


GE13 results which saw Pakatan Rakyat winning the popular vote


GE13 saw BN losing popular vote for the first time in history

In 2018, they gained 48% of votes in a three-cornered situation.


Malaysia saw a change of government for the first time in history


The results of GE14 three-cornered fight

The widest gap we can expect in the next election is likely to be 55-45.

Such is the nature of democracy in most countries. The divide runs down the middle, more or less. There can therefore be no social peace when any Malaysian government acts as if it is running a country with 90 percent of popular support.

Governing parties have to learn to create democratic space for the opposition so that when it becomes the opposition, it will enjoy that space as well.

Opposition parties should learn not to burn the house down using racial sentiments as it just renders the nation ungovernable. This comes back to bite youand this is what Perikatan Nasional has had to face.

2. Coalition realities


The Perikatan Nasional coalition behind the Sheraton coup | Source: Malay Mail

Coalition politics is likely to be the norm.

It is highly unlikely that any party can win more than 70 seats in a Malaysian parliament with 222 seats.

Gone were the days when UMNO alone, by winning more than 100 seats and being the dominant hegemon in its coalition, could control the country.

Governments in the foreseeable future will likely be coalition governments of relatively similar strength.


The Pakatan Harapan coalition in March | Source: FMT

Every party will have to learn how to accommodate its coalition partners to achieve greatest common good.

Moving forward, institutions and governing styles should hopefully reflect these multi-party coalition realities so that every coalition partner can feel that their interests and constituencies are represented without having to have its leader as Prime Minister.

3. The East Wind



Of the Peninsulas 165 seats, Pakatan won:

  • 80 seats in 2008
  • 80 seats again in 2013
  • 98 seats in 2018.

Based on this alone, it is wishful thinking on the part of some members in Perikatan to claim that they can win a two-thirds majority in the next elections.

I acknowledge that Pakatan may lose some seats on the peninsula, but I am confident that Pakatan will hold the line at 80 to 85 seats.


Sabah Chief Minister Datuk Seri Shafie Apdal

80 to 85 seats in the peninsula may not bring Pakatan back to government. But if there is a swing in Sabah and Sarawak for Datuk Seri Shafie Apdal and his allies, it is possible that they can win 30-35 seats out of the 57 seats in Sabah, Sarawak and Labuan.

With this East Wind, taking over power from Perikatan at the federal level is a possibility.



4. The last hurrah for one-race champions?



Perikatan Nasional came into power with the idea that a one-race government is a superior idea. I maintain that such an idea is only good for a coup but never good in an election.

I told Muhyiddin during my final chat with him before the Sheraton coup that Bersatu being on the same side with UMNO and PAS will make it even harder for the three parties to carve up seats to contest in a general election.

The one-race champion, upon holding office, will have a hard time explaining the economic and other struggles faced by ordinary Malays for want of having an Other to blame. At the very least, they cannot put any blame on the DAP.



The anger against dua darjat (two classes) becomes more apparent when the privileged Malays linked to UMNO or Perikatan received special treatment during the MCO while ordinary Malays languished in jail. The one-race champion will also face the anger and scrutiny on the presence in its coalition of corrupt leaders, from middle-ground Malay voters who wish to see their country run by a clean government.

Pushing for a one-race ticket will also alienate non-Malay voters and Sabah/Sarawak voters.

5. Democratic uprising



The 2018 election was a democratic uprising pulling together all forces who were against Najib Razak and Barisans rule.

We must explain to Malaysians that if all forces attempting to establish clean government and democracy do not come together, they are paving the way for Perikatan to perpetuate its undemocratic rule.



If snap polls is called, all forces opposing Muhyiddin and Najib should therefore come together to fight them.

Civil society organisations and all Malaysians who want to preserve and strengthen democracy should acknowledge that we are faced with very strong conservative and regressive forces; and the only way to push back is to work together in a grand coalition to win at least 130 seats on election night to form a stable majority.

Only by understanding these realities and acting strategically, can we start afresh to mobilise our collective efforts in reclaiming Malaysias democracy.

Let it be clear that we can only achieve this feat if we stand together.



Progressives Agenda for Malaysia
4 July 2020



For Malaysia to move forward, we need to have a new framing for our political and economic discourses.

Malaysias race/communal politics traces its roots to the Japanese occupation and the immediate aftermath in 1945. That was 75 years ago. The UMNO-dominant polity began in the aftermath of the May 1969 crisis, and this was 51 years ago.

A period of 14 years of very cordial ethnic relations and a sense of Malaysianness pervaded the country between 1991, when Dr. Mahathir proposed Vision 2020 and Bangsa Malaysia, and when Datuk Seri Hishammuddin Hussein unsheathed his keris and waved it publicly in 2005. Indeed, the very racial framing of politics we see today actually begun in 2005, some 15 years ago. It is not something that has to be inherent to Malaysian politics.

It is time for a great reset. Here are some basic frameworks for the political community to consider.      

First, Middle Malaysia

There is a need for political leaders and opinion leaders who aspire for Malaysia to be a stable democracy to realise that to defeat the extreme positions is to stand steadfastly in the middle.

The middle ground may sound like drinking coffee without sugar. But for the health of the nation, this is the best place to be.

Whichever the permutations, a progressive coalition must resist the extremes and keep in mind that we cannot be able to be more Malay in orientation than UMNO can be, more Islamic than PAS can be, more Chinese than MCA or more Indian than MIC can be. The middle is obviously where we build the nation together as a people.  

Second, Malaysia Bersaudara C the solidarity of a Malaysian civic nation  

The allure of identity politics is that one feels that one belongs to a group. When public discourse is being manipulated by the extreme positions, Malays feel threatened, and non-Malays felt equally threatened. In the end, whoever paddles race as the primary identity of Malaysians wins and the progressive forces lose.

For the progressives to thrive and to have our voice heard, it is not about ignoring identity but about building an inclusive Malaysian identity based on citizenship, a Malaysian civic nation and solidarity; it is about Malaysian citizens, as one people, facing the peoples of the world.  

For Malaysian democracy to have a future, the unit forming the democratic nation should not be race but citizenship. The citizen is the basic and indispensable unit of Malaysian democracy.

The collective identity of Malaysian citizens, or something like Bangsa Malaysia, does not mean that one loses his or her cultural identity as a Malay, Chinese, Indian, Kadazan or Iban. Collectively, we take part in the political process as Malaysian citizens, as one people, as a civic nation.

Third, Economic, Livelihood and Sustainability NEW DEAL

There is a need for us to centre public discourses on policies concerning matters such as taxation, jobs, pay, education, healthcare, transport, housing, climate and sustainability etc.

Instead of allowing race and religion issues being the most emotive debate taking all the mind shares of the public, Malaysian opinion leaders should realise that climate and jobs can be equally and even more emotive. Just look at the Greta Thunberg phenomena or the Green New Deal idea first put forward by Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez (AOC).

Progressives must spend sufficient time to understand public policiesand to articulate them. We must convince as many people as possible that these are the primary concerns of ordinary Malaysians.

And, a Malay taxi driver and a Chinese taxi driver, or a Malay e-hailing driver and an Indian e-hailing driver, while they may differ from each other in terms of cultural background, they are living the same lives and livelihoods. They are essentially facing the same social and economic realities. This truth runs through the whole of Malaysian society.

To improve the lives and livelihoods of these people, a New Deal is needed. The Covid19 crisis has in fact upended the world economic order of the last 50 years or even 75 years.

Fourth, women and youth

The conservatives are often less prepared to recognise the equal status of women and their huge potentials and contributions to the society and the economy. Women can be catalysts for progressive movement. Creating jobs with equitable remuneration for women often propel a society to improve the conditions for families, income and quality of lives.

Youth is often sidelined by conservatives too. Progressives should provide space for youthful expression and energy.

In resetting Malaysia, women and youth should be at the forefront to lead.

Fifth, Malaysias place in the region and the world

Malaysia has a crucial role to play in the region and the world. We must look beyond to progress, and not turn inwards to fight each other towards mutual destruction.

During my time as deputy to Minister of Defence Mat Sabu, we managed to develop the Defence White Paper which frames Malaysias position as a maritime nation with continental roots and a linchpin between the Indian Ocean and Pacific Ocean, arguably the most contested waters in the world in years to come. Malaysia has an important role to play in ensuring peace in the region, at a time when the great powers are increasingly hostile to each other.

Malaysia has always been a nation punching above its weight, a middle power of sort. Progressives must help persuade Malaysians to see Malaysias activist role in the region and the world so that Malaysians understand the challenges the world faces and also see beyond the distracting and destructive domestic noises so prevalent in the past 15 years.

It is obvious that Malaysia needs a Great Reset. I hope these suggestions help spark conversations that will lead Malaysia into a new era.

END

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Looking for Google Ads Manager expert. Freelance work from home. Profit sharing basis. Please send your resume to HR@cari.com.my
Post time 8-7-2020 11:30 AM From the mobile phone | Show all posts
bye2 dap haha
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Post time 8-7-2020 11:31 AM From the mobile phone | Show all posts
Pendirian saya adalah
IMG_20200504_103212.jpg
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Post time 8-7-2020 11:32 AM From the mobile phone | Show all posts
Btw kenapa poll ni ade 2 option ye utk yg x sokong ph/dap??sbb nk pecahkan undi eh??
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Post time 8-7-2020 11:33 AM | Show all posts
ehhh kenapa gambar madey dgn nuar bersalam??? dorang dah gaduh la lanc*u! bodoh betul ayam ni
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Post time 8-7-2020 11:34 AM From the mobile phone | Show all posts
Pandai betul ayam ni buat lawak.

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Post time 8-7-2020 11:36 AM | Show all posts

kuburkan mereka termasuk MIC dan MCA
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Post time 8-7-2020 11:38 AM | Show all posts
aku ok je malaysia bersaudara. tp kene hapuskan sekolah vernakular la. bersaudara celah manenye kalau tak reti cakap bahasa kebangsaan
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Post time 8-7-2020 12:02 PM | Show all posts
all out utk rampas balik.
penjualan harta negara belum selesai.
ramai funder belum dapat ROI.....
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Author
 Author| Post time 8-7-2020 12:09 PM | Show all posts
Setiap dari kita yang cintakan Malaysia dan ingin memastikan sistem demokrasi menjadi lebih baik, pasti akan bersetuju dengan artikel di atas.

Ayoh, kita realisasikan harapan ini di PRU15 #ForGreaterMalaysia
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Post time 8-7-2020 12:14 PM | Show all posts
PRU14
bertebaran di mana mana #SelamatkanMalaysia
sekarang  #ForGreaterMalaysia
hidup dengan tanda pagar je lah..
realitinya hauk
Rakyat menolak pH dari Arau sampai ke Tawau
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 Author| Post time 8-7-2020 12:18 PM | Show all posts
Edited by I.am.PH at 8-7-2020 04:40 AM
AnBulisia replied at 8-7-2020 04:14 AM
PRU14
bertebaran di mana mana #SelamatkanMalaysia
sekarang  #ForGreaterMalaysia
Maafkan saya jika mempunyai pandangan berbeza, boleh rujuk thread berkualiti di bawah ini:

Video: Nak PRU15 konon, sedar diri sikit... UMNO sudah tidak laku
https://mforum1.cari.com.my/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=1206814

dan

Sedarlah diri sikit, kalau buat PRU mengejut pun belum tentu PN boleh menang - Pandangan penganalisa politik dan badan pemikir
https://mforum1.cari.com.my/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=1206683

Pada masa yang sama, PH berjaya menambahkan kewangan negara

Khazanah catat keuntungan RM7.36 bilion di bawah Pakatan
https://mforum1.cari.com.my/foru ... ead&tid=1206826

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Post time 8-7-2020 12:24 PM | Show all posts
berangan la lu..

#mindakoyak
#semogakoyak
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Post time 8-7-2020 12:24 PM | Show all posts
Governing parties have to learn to create democratic space for the opposition so that when it becomes the opposition, it will enjoy that space as well.


Especially true when each party has equal chance of being on either side of the negotiation table. Let's hope UMNO is a fast learner.

A period of 14 years of very cordial ethnic relations and a sense of Malaysianness pervaded the country between 1991, when Dr. Mahathir proposed Vision 2020 and Bangsa Malaysia, and when Datuk Seri Hishammuddin Hussein unsheathed his keris and waved it publicly in 2005.


Adegan menghunus keris tu must be a highlight of his political career which he wishes he could erase. Aku rasa lah...

Whichever the permutations, a progressive coalition must resist the extremes and keep in mind that we cannot be able to be more Malay in orientation than UMNO can be, more Islamic than PAS can be, more Chinese than MCA or more Indian than MIC can be. The middle is obviously where we build the nation together as a people.


Good luck Malaysia!

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 Author| Post time 8-7-2020 12:25 PM | Show all posts
Edited by I.am.PH at 8-7-2020 04:29 AM
palmolive replied at 8-7-2020 04:24 AM
berangan la lu..

#mindakoyak



Tekan pautan untuk bacaan penuh: https://dl.dapmalaysia.org/flipbook_roketkini/5/book.html




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Post time 8-7-2020 12:26 PM From the mobile phone | Show all posts
Sayang Malaysia... sebabtu taknak parti bersekongkol dengan dap memerintah.. baru 22 dah macam2 hal. Aset bumi kene jual... ekonomi pun menjunam. Rakyat bergaduh. Penjawat awam mati tanpa pembelaan. Ltte dan komunis lepas bebas..
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Post time 8-7-2020 12:29 PM | Show all posts
I.am.PH replied at 8-7-2020 12:25 PM
Tekan pautan untuk bacaan penuh: https://dl.dapmalaysia.org/flipbook_roketkini/5/book.html

...

madey ke anwar jadi PM?

#mindakoyak
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Post time 8-7-2020 12:30 PM From the mobile phone | Show all posts
Xim replied at 8-7-2020 11:32 AM
Btw kenapa poll ni ade 2 option ye utk yg x sokong ph/dap??sbb nk pecahkan undi eh?? ...

Takpe... kite tgk je hasil nanti, berapa jauh kene tinggal. kalau pecah undi tapi masih kalah jugak, lagi maluuu..
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Post time 8-7-2020 12:32 PM From the mobile phone | Show all posts
resetting the nation
get rid of all PATI and ex PATI
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Post time 8-7-2020 12:33 PM From the mobile phone | Show all posts
I.am.PH replied at 8-7-2020 12:09 PM
Setiap dari kita yang cintakan Malaysia dan ingin memastikan sistem demokrasi menjadi lebih baik, pa ...

Setuju... kmi mahu pilihanraya
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