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Pakar Ekonomi : Malaysia akan mengalami kemerosotan ekonomi yg teruk selama 4 ta
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Reply akubest
China sebenarnya kurang memerlukan AS, tetapi lebih memerlukan negara pengeluar b ...
dan509 Post at 4-6-2012 22:29 Bukan ke US tu negara pengimpot terbesar barangan buatan China? China juga pemegang rizab matawang USD yg terbesar yg melebihi 1 trillion USD. Kestabilan ekonomi US memberi kelebihan dari segi dagangan yang menguntungkan buat China. Jadi kesimpulan nya China bergantung kepada US dari segi ekonomi. |
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Reply 201# ronin
Ya, memang ekonomi China bergantung kepada ekonomi US. Tetapi, dengan pasaran berpotensi sehingga berbilion pelanggan, kesannya ke atas ekonomi China boleh dimitigasikan. Jangan lupa, kebanyakan barang buatan China lebih murah daripada produk kebanyakan negara dan boleh diklasifikasikan sebagai barangan pengganti. Barangan murah ini akan menggantikan produk tempatan di serata dunia sebagai barangan pengganti kerana harganya yang lebih murah, walaupun kualitinya mungkin agak was-was. Akibatnya, negara lain dengan kos pembuatan yang lebih tinggi daripada China, seperti Malaysia akan menerima kesannya dengan permintaan terhadap barangan tempatan akan merosot. Sekiranya dalam tempoh ekonomi sedunia ini merudum ekonomi China dapat bertahan, maka apabila pemulihan ekonomi mula dilihat, China akan terlepas daripada dugaan ini. Tetapi jika ekonomi sedunia belum pulih semasa China mula menerima kesan keruduman ekonomi, dan mereka tidak dapat mengawal kadar kemiskinan mereka maka kemungkinan mereka akan beralih kepada cara Jepun (1939), Jerman (1939) dan Indonesia (1963) teramat besar. Malahan mula kelihatan bahawa China mula melihat ke cara ini. Paling tepat, mereka sebenarnya sememangnya bersedia menggunakan kaedah ini sekiranya perlu. |
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Dan pada masa yang sama, pegangan hutang AS di tangan China mungkin memperlihatkan China mengambil alih perniagaan utama AS. |
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Kalo share dibeli - naik²
Kalo jual share - turun²
Tp kalo suroh jiran beli dgn free gift?
- Mgkin yg lain xtahu. |
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Intai² sket Euro Stoxx Banks Index:
- LINK
4-suku: Q3 & Q4 - 2011, Q1 & Q2 - 2012...smpi la ni dok amek kertas celop² emas.
Tp emas yg mana satu?
Depa dok speculate yg metal - yg lain telan bulat² je.
Sdgkn marketnya dikawal pengawal black gold.
Pelaburan gold & silver pd speculated-trend yg menurun (wlpn tinggi),
memberi kelebihan kpd kuasa PetroDollar utk expand in Syria, Afghan.
Menaikkan darah SCO, jika Turki dan Iran penamatnya.
Arab dh uprising,
Amireka...bile nk bankrupsing ek? |
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takyah laaa pikio2 pasal global recession..korang otak kan sampai level nak pikio pun
stick to aa ...
ajinomotonosuga Post at 4-6-2012 19:36
Ni aji..subsidi gas dicadang dikurangkan..eloklah kaki2 susidi ni pi meroyan. |
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Ni aji..subsidi gas dicadang dikurangkan..eloklah kaki2 susidi ni pi meroyan.
Anak_Nogori Post at 5-6-2012 13:45
meroyan pun meroyanlah janji maintain perasan molia. |
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Reply akubest
China sebenarnya kurang memerlukan AS, tetapi lebih memerlukan negara pengeluar b ...
dan509 Post at 4-6-2012 22:29
cara kau cerita ni semuanya masalah bhaiii. ...tang mana yg takdak masalahnya? kau sendiri ada masalah tak? |
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ilmu ekonomi konvensyenal dia bilang.....dalam donia ni semua tak cukup, jadi kena kiasu selalu. Sapa yg paling tere ajer survive. Islam ajaq, semua Allah dah bagi rejeki. Camna tuh? |
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pasal korang dah sebut2 China...
http://www.wsws.org/articles/2012/jun2012/chin-j05.shtml
Chinese workers storm local government office
By John Chan
5 June 2012
Thousands of workers clashed with riot police in Rui’an city, in the eastern Chinese province of Zhejiang, last Tuesday in another sign of mounting social tensions produced by the slowing Chinese economy. The protest coincided with strikes last month across a range of industries—from toy production to auto manufacturing—as part of ongoing labour unrest since late last year.
Acutely nervous that unpaid wages often trigger violent protests, the National People’s Congress (NPC) last year amended Chinese law to make it a crime, with a seven-year jail term, to deliberately withhold wages. But with the global financial crisis intensifying and Chinese manufacturing contracting for the seventh consecutive month, employers are escalating their cost cutting including of wages and conditions. This is provoking strikes and protests throughout the country.
On May 8, 1,000 shoe manufacturing workers at a Taiwanese-owned, Pou Chen group plant in the Yueyuan Industrial Park struck over cuts to their monthly bonus—from 400-600 yuan to just 100 yuan—due to falling orders. Even with overtime, the factory workers earn just 2,000 yuan a month and depend on bonuses to live. The plant produces shoes for the US-based Crocs brand. Last November, 7,000 workers at the Yue Cheng shoe plant in the Yueyuan Industrial Park walked out over wages. Yue Cheng is also owned by the Pou Chen group.
On May 15, 1,000 mainly female workers at the Japanese-owned Sanyo Optical Components in Huizhou City, struck for a wage rise to compensate for rising prices for food and other necessities. They rejected a 100-yuan monthly bonus offer from the management who claimed it had been hit by falling revenue. Police were deployed to prevent any further escalation of the strike action.
The labour unrest is not limited to the private sector but extends to major state-owned corporations. In early May, 3,000 workers at FAW-GM Light Commercial Vehicle Co. (Hongta) in Yuan province’s Qujing city struck for a week. The plant, which is one of the three joint-venture facilities involving FAW, China’s state-owned auto company, and General Motors, is capable of producing 100,000 light trucks a year. Workers complained that their wage rates had stagnated for over a decade at about 1,000 yuan a month and accused company officials of corruptly transferring assets and property to other more profitable FAW affiliates. Workers demanded an investigation into the alleged corruption and all the missing company assets.
The Hongta strike is only a symptom of broader stress in what is now the world’s largest auto market. In the last quarter, auto sales in China fell 1.3 percent from the same period last year—the worst since 1998. In 2011, auto sales rose by just 2.5 percent—compared to 32.4 percent in 2010.
Su Hui, vice president of China Automobile Dealers Association, told Bloomberg on May 17: “Unsold cars are crowding dealer lots in cities from Guangzhou in the south to Xi’an to the west. It’s like a contagious disease that will spread.”
The slowing Chinese economy will inevitably translate to losses and further attacks on workers’ wages, conditions and jobs. The angry protest in Rui’an last week is another sign that Chinese workers are confronting the same assault on their social position as their counterparts in Europe, the US and across the world. |
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Reply 209# apam
Rasanya jawapan saya senang sahaja. Adakah saya menjangkakan jawapan saudara? Tidak. Sekiranya saya boleh jangkakan jawapan saudara, saya tak perlu lagi melebarkan bebenang ini dengan masalah yang bakal berlaku. Saya juga tak menjangkakan ada yang akan setuju dengan saya. Sebabnya Tuhan cipta kita semua sebagai manusia yang berakal fikiran dan mempunyai pendapat sendiri. Bagaimana seseorang melihat dirinya, masyarakat dan dunia sekeliling dibentuk peribadi dirinya dan kaedah membuat keputusan juga dipengaruhi oleh perkara di atas. Dan perkara di atas yang menjadikan tindakan ekonomi sukar dijangkakan. |
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Modern economics byk kepincangannya; dan memahami causality adalah cara terbaik.
Tp apa yg susah sgt nak paham causality yg gomen byk salah buat polisi? |
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allah bagi rezeki bukan dgn cara datang bergolek, kena usaha sebab kita tak tahu yg tuhan nak bagi tu banyak mana
cari lah nak cari dunia byk mana pun, asal jgn lupa tuhan, asal tak cari yg haram dan/atau dapatkan dgn cara haram, asal tak lupa hak org lain atas harta tu, asal jgn takbur etc |
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Modern economics byk kepincangannya; dan memahami causality adalah cara terbaik.
Tp apa yg susah ...
baghal_bortuqal Post at 6-6-2012 00:06
most of the times, it's not abt the policy per se, it's abt the finer points of the policy, or the people implementing the policy
cth: beli rumah rega juta2, nak bagi diskaun bumi jadah apa? dah mampu beli rumah juta2, suh jelah bayar rega pasaran...antara polisi paling bangang |
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Ekonomi kita x berubah - tp wealth?
As a whole, Malaysia never been prosperous,
but progressively being cheap, cheaper, cheaput.
Hanya krn peneroka.
p/s: Cuba tanya pakar bola plk... |
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Sabsidi = artificially lowers cost of living = depresses wage increment.
Compound it over the last 28 yrs = shithole golongan wage earners in now (specifically); dan economic malaise (generally) seen on the industrial front. |
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Sbg pengguna/rakyat, subsidi tu hak mereka.
Yg kaya byr tax, yg miskin mkn subsidi.
Tp kalo terbalik, yg kaya colect duit yg miskin utk byr tax. |
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Mentaliti 'Hak kpd sabsidi' is what landed us all in this shithole called middle income trap. Tlg distinguish sabsidi vs t/jawab gomen spt provision of education, healthcare.
Hak of the rakyat is bigger slice of economic pie melalui medium gaji sbg pengantara. Ini memberikan rakyat hak utk menentukan bagaimana mereka membelanjakan duit tersebut.
Bukan melalui sabsidi yg ditentukan politaik akai setitik. Yg kendian diputar belit kengkunun politaik tu pandai, dan rakyat perlu berterimakasih pd politaik sbb bagi sabsidi. |
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rakyat malaysia memang bodo
-nak shoping la, nak kawin laa, nak anak la
-tak tahu ke anak tu adalah kehendak, bukan keperluan
-kalau tak mampu tanggung jangan buat anak, sama mcm beli kereta, tak mampu bayar ansuran bulanan jangan beli
-lepas tu mengeluh harga minyak naik laa apa bala |
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